Starting the night having trouble folding big hands. QQ on a 9 high board vs. a set of 9s was kind of a cooler based on the way the hand went down. But in another hand I turned a flush on a paired board where I was sure no one had a set, then when the T hit the river and I got raised big I was sure I was beat but there were literally only two hands that could beat me, a king high flush or TT and I called and was shown TT...he knew I had a flush so he could only raise with a hand that beats me...i justified the call thinking he could have a smaller flush.
Other than that, my flopped nut straight got in a 3way all in when a set hit quads, a super donk made 2 pair vs. my QQ for a stacked off pot and there were a few other all in pots vs. short stacks where they tripped up against my top pair.
I did my best to control tilt and after being down about 4 buy-ins (I was down 3.5 in about an hour), I took a break. I had originally decided that I should have a stop loss at 2 buy-ins but a few of the tables were really juicy and I didn't think I was playing bad. After the break, I was doing okay but I really felt like tilt was creeping in and it was affecting me in that I basically stopped 3 betting and I was being a little passive. Then after realizing this, I got TT in a 4 or 5 handed table and I 3bet the button. He had really tight stats and playing back at the nits was something I have been trying to work on...well, when he 4 bet me the tilt affect set in and I justified the fact that we were short-handed to shove it in. Honestly, I don't know if it was good or bad, but he's a nit so he has a real hand. A new table popped up and I noticed he snapped me off with JJ...luckily when I came back to the table there was a T on the flop. I knew then that it was time to stop the session. I made it back to around a 2 buy in loss, but I wasn't happy about how I got there.
Overall tonight was kind of a train wreck. I mean there were a few good hands and I think for the most part I controlled tilt early on, but then the suckouts kept happening and even though I wasn't going on monkey tilt and bluffing off my stack, I wasn't playing my best. Once again, I am not focusing on individual sessions. I care about the long run and making +EV decisions. This session was a tough one after running and playing good for the last 4. I'm going to call it a night and review some hands tomorrow to see if I could have gotten away from a few of the big ones and even a few where I could have made more. I think I still sometimes let my tournament experience influence me and I assume people are going to stack off with crap. In cash games, it seems like if someone is getting it in they have the goods (at least at .50/1). Maybe not everyone, but definitely the regs.
Friday, April 9, 2010
Thursday, April 8, 2010
Stop trying to outplay the regs
Somehow regs always have something when they call the check-raise. Don't 3 barrel them because their hand has high value. They are playing 20+ tables and aren't calling to try and outplay you.
Not sure why I even called in this hand...horrible spew. I think I looked at his stats and wanted to outplay him since he had a high aggression factor..dumb.
***** Hand History for Game 42393791309 ***** (Poker Stars)
$100.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, April 08, 11:21:05 ET 2010
Table Aten V (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Seat 1: DP388 ( $119.00 USD )
Seat 2: Wakegod ( $100.00 USD )
Seat 3: outside_lol ( $113.40 USD )
Seat 4: AcEsUp8599 ( $267.55 USD )
Seat 5: malik089 ( $217.10 USD )
Seat 6: alan333 ( $104.25 USD )
Seat 7: DannyOhBoy ( $122.80 USD )
Seat 9: Prooxy ( $101.50 USD )
Prooxy posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
DP388 posts big blind [$1.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to DP388 [ Td Js ]
Wakegod folds
outside_lol folds
AcEsUp8599 folds
malik089 raises [$3.00 USD]
alan333 folds
DannyOhBoy folds
Prooxy folds
DP388 calls [$2.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4h, Qh, 8s ]
DP388 checks
malik089 bets [$4.00 USD]
DP388 raises [$12.00 USD]
malik089 calls [$8.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 3c ]
DP388 bets [$17.00 USD]
malik089 calls [$17.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
DP388 bets [$37.00 USD]
malik089 calls [$37.00 USD]
DP388 shows [Td, Js ]
malik089 shows [Ac, Ah ]
malik089 wins $135.50 USD from main pot
Gave up on this one since I just knew...Definitely not profitable vs. someone running 12/8/1.4.
PokerStars Game #42393036664: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00 USD) - 2010/04/08 22:53:41 ET
Table 'Aten V' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: DP388 ($100.50 in chips)
Seat 2: cocxiphe ($188.50 in chips)
Seat 3: outside_lol ($100 in chips)
Seat 4: AcEsUp8599 ($281.10 in chips)
Seat 5: malik089 ($114.95 in chips)
Seat 6: alan333 ($105.05 in chips)
Seat 7: DannyOhBoy ($103.25 in chips)
Seat 8: TitFed219 ($100 in chips)
Seat 9: gappo2009 ($101 in chips)
DP388: posts small blind $0.50
cocxiphe: posts big blind $1
TitFed219: posts small & big blinds $1.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DP388 [6s 6c]
outside_lol: folds
AcEsUp8599: folds
malik089: folds
alan333: folds
DannyOhBoy: raises $4 to $5
TitFed219: folds
gappo2009: folds
DP388: calls $4.50
cocxiphe: folds
*** FLOP *** [8d 8h Ts]
DP388: checks
DannyOhBoy: bets $7
DP388: raises $12 to $19
DannyOhBoy: calls $12
*** TURN *** [8d 8h Ts] [Qd]
DP388: checks
DannyOhBoy: checks
*** RIVER *** [8d 8h Ts Qd] [Jc]
DP388: checks
DannyOhBoy: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DP388: shows [6s 6c] (two pair, Eights and Sixes)
DannyOhBoy: shows [Th Jd] (two pair, Jacks and Tens)
DannyOhBoy collected $48.05 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $50.50 | Rake $2.45
Board [8d 8h Ts Qd Jc]
Seat 1: DP388 (small blind) showed [6s 6c] and lost with two pair, Eights and Sixes
Seat 2: cocxiphe (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: outside_lol folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: AcEsUp8599 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: malik089 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: alan333 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: DannyOhBoy showed [Th Jd] and won ($48.05) with two pair, Jacks and Tens
Seat 8: TitFed219 folded before Flop
Seat 9: gappo2009 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Other than those, I had a decent night. A lot of ups and downs. Got AA and KK cracked for full stacks and managed to end the night up getting spewy players to shove into my nuts. Part of it had to do with better table selection. I download a cool tool called TableScan Turbo and I'm using it to score certain things about tables to pick the best ones.
Not sure why I even called in this hand...horrible spew. I think I looked at his stats and wanted to outplay him since he had a high aggression factor..dumb.
***** Hand History for Game 42393791309 ***** (Poker Stars)
$100.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, April 08, 11:21:05 ET 2010
Table Aten V (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Seat 1: DP388 ( $119.00 USD )
Seat 2: Wakegod ( $100.00 USD )
Seat 3: outside_lol ( $113.40 USD )
Seat 4: AcEsUp8599 ( $267.55 USD )
Seat 5: malik089 ( $217.10 USD )
Seat 6: alan333 ( $104.25 USD )
Seat 7: DannyOhBoy ( $122.80 USD )
Seat 9: Prooxy ( $101.50 USD )
Prooxy posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
DP388 posts big blind [$1.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to DP388 [ Td Js ]
Wakegod folds
outside_lol folds
AcEsUp8599 folds
malik089 raises [$3.00 USD]
alan333 folds
DannyOhBoy folds
Prooxy folds
DP388 calls [$2.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4h, Qh, 8s ]
DP388 checks
malik089 bets [$4.00 USD]
DP388 raises [$12.00 USD]
malik089 calls [$8.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 3c ]
DP388 bets [$17.00 USD]
malik089 calls [$17.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
DP388 bets [$37.00 USD]
malik089 calls [$37.00 USD]
DP388 shows [Td, Js ]
malik089 shows [Ac, Ah ]
malik089 wins $135.50 USD from main pot
Gave up on this one since I just knew...Definitely not profitable vs. someone running 12/8/1.4.
PokerStars Game #42393036664: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00 USD) - 2010/04/08 22:53:41 ET
Table 'Aten V' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: DP388 ($100.50 in chips)
Seat 2: cocxiphe ($188.50 in chips)
Seat 3: outside_lol ($100 in chips)
Seat 4: AcEsUp8599 ($281.10 in chips)
Seat 5: malik089 ($114.95 in chips)
Seat 6: alan333 ($105.05 in chips)
Seat 7: DannyOhBoy ($103.25 in chips)
Seat 8: TitFed219 ($100 in chips)
Seat 9: gappo2009 ($101 in chips)
DP388: posts small blind $0.50
cocxiphe: posts big blind $1
TitFed219: posts small & big blinds $1.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DP388 [6s 6c]
outside_lol: folds
AcEsUp8599: folds
malik089: folds
alan333: folds
DannyOhBoy: raises $4 to $5
TitFed219: folds
gappo2009: folds
DP388: calls $4.50
cocxiphe: folds
*** FLOP *** [8d 8h Ts]
DP388: checks
DannyOhBoy: bets $7
DP388: raises $12 to $19
DannyOhBoy: calls $12
*** TURN *** [8d 8h Ts] [Qd]
DP388: checks
DannyOhBoy: checks
*** RIVER *** [8d 8h Ts Qd] [Jc]
DP388: checks
DannyOhBoy: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DP388: shows [6s 6c] (two pair, Eights and Sixes)
DannyOhBoy: shows [Th Jd] (two pair, Jacks and Tens)
DannyOhBoy collected $48.05 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $50.50 | Rake $2.45
Board [8d 8h Ts Qd Jc]
Seat 1: DP388 (small blind) showed [6s 6c] and lost with two pair, Eights and Sixes
Seat 2: cocxiphe (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: outside_lol folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: AcEsUp8599 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: malik089 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: alan333 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: DannyOhBoy showed [Th Jd] and won ($48.05) with two pair, Jacks and Tens
Seat 8: TitFed219 folded before Flop
Seat 9: gappo2009 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Other than those, I had a decent night. A lot of ups and downs. Got AA and KK cracked for full stacks and managed to end the night up getting spewy players to shove into my nuts. Part of it had to do with better table selection. I download a cool tool called TableScan Turbo and I'm using it to score certain things about tables to pick the best ones.
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Started a little rough, made some adjustments & then ran good
Good session tonight overall. I lost a few chips in marginal spots where I got feisty and didn't commit to the river on a couple bluffs or hands where I was either way behind or way ahead. It was mostly in pots vs. aggressive regs or people I didn't have enough hands on. I did really well with that last session so made a mid session adjustment and corrected that leak. I just gotta work on not taking 3bets personally.
I'm a big fan of a new move...donk lead the flop with a big hand then check raise the turn. It's a lot of fun and puts more money in the pot. There are times when check/calling the turn might be better but if I'm playing an ego player it's a great move when they look me up.
I'm also getting better at playing big hands fast on flop in order to get more money in the pot.
There were a few pots where I jammed the river and I felt like I could have check the river and gotten them to bluff shove. One was a 44KKx board when I had AK. There was a lot of money in the pot and I thought the guy was committed, but really what would he call me with there other than another K or quads. I should have gave him a chance to turn his hand into a bluff with the way I played the other streets.
Overall I am really liking cash games and multitabling. You almost always have a hand to play and I love having lots of stats on my play to use for improving my game.
I'm a big fan of a new move...donk lead the flop with a big hand then check raise the turn. It's a lot of fun and puts more money in the pot. There are times when check/calling the turn might be better but if I'm playing an ego player it's a great move when they look me up.
I'm also getting better at playing big hands fast on flop in order to get more money in the pot.
There were a few pots where I jammed the river and I felt like I could have check the river and gotten them to bluff shove. One was a 44KKx board when I had AK. There was a lot of money in the pot and I thought the guy was committed, but really what would he call me with there other than another K or quads. I should have gave him a chance to turn his hand into a bluff with the way I played the other streets.
Overall I am really liking cash games and multitabling. You almost always have a hand to play and I love having lots of stats on my play to use for improving my game.
Monday, April 5, 2010
Focused Session
Goal for the night: Think through situations fully
Fully = what are his stats, position, history, other factors
Mid Session note: One thing I am doing tonight is resisting the temptations to make moves or fancy plays without solid reads or enough hands on someone...or making big moves against hyper-aggressive players without confident reads or outs.
Post Session notes: Tonight was a great session. Not only did I run good (which obviously helps), I was able to pick much better spots than I have in the past. I was also able to maximize my winnings with my big hands and minimize my losses when behind. I felt like I had great reads, even though I was 6 tabling for most of the night. I was in tune with game flow and it really paid off.
Session stats:
3.63 hrs
1026 hands
VPIP 17.5
PFR 12.5
3bet 7.0
Agg Factor 2.91
Overall my stats are much lower than I thought they would be, but they are roughly in line with how I have been playing. I'll do a deeper analysis and figure out ways to up this a bit without becoming too obvious and having to deal with more 3bets. I'm surprised my 3bet stat is so big, but I think it more had to do with running well. I'm usually between 5 and 6.
As usual, I'm not posting bb/100 or $ won since I am not focusing on each session. But we'll just say I had a good night.
Fully = what are his stats, position, history, other factors
Mid Session note: One thing I am doing tonight is resisting the temptations to make moves or fancy plays without solid reads or enough hands on someone...or making big moves against hyper-aggressive players without confident reads or outs.
Post Session notes: Tonight was a great session. Not only did I run good (which obviously helps), I was able to pick much better spots than I have in the past. I was also able to maximize my winnings with my big hands and minimize my losses when behind. I felt like I had great reads, even though I was 6 tabling for most of the night. I was in tune with game flow and it really paid off.
Session stats:
3.63 hrs
1026 hands
VPIP 17.5
PFR 12.5
3bet 7.0
Agg Factor 2.91
Overall my stats are much lower than I thought they would be, but they are roughly in line with how I have been playing. I'll do a deeper analysis and figure out ways to up this a bit without becoming too obvious and having to deal with more 3bets. I'm surprised my 3bet stat is so big, but I think it more had to do with running well. I'm usually between 5 and 6.
As usual, I'm not posting bb/100 or $ won since I am not focusing on each session. But we'll just say I had a good night.
Friday, April 2, 2010
Tilt Prevention & a Rough Night
The session has started pretty rough and I feel like I'm starting to misfire a bit. I'm going to use this as an opportunity to learn how to overcome and prevent tilt during a session. I am going to dig deep and focus on not doing the things I've notice happen when I tilt:
1. Force pots
2. Lose sight of reads and put blinders on
3. Ignore reads and "hope" they fold, don't bet, etc.
4. Speculate out of position
5. Call on draws hoping to hit instead of putting them on a hand and being aggressive when it makes sense
6. Tighten up afraid of trusting my reads because I might lose a big pot
7. Involve my ego in decisions facing bets/raises
For now, I am going to tighten up just a bit and re-focus on asking the questions "what do they have" and "what do they think I have".
----
Well, I stayed cool until the end when QQ got sucked out by JJ on the turn for a buy-in. Tonight was rough...like really rough. I don't even know where to begin. Suckouts, bluffs not working, not laying down big hands when I know I'm beat, etc. For the most part I don't feel like I played that bad, but I had everything not go my way. I certainly lost more pots than I won and the ones I lost were sizeable. After the QQ suckout, I took a break and looked at my session stats to see if I should stop the bleeding early tonight. To my shock, I was down $363.15! I figured I was close to 2 buy-ins, but I had no idea it was over three. I know from past experiences that putting in a stop loss now is not even an option. As much as I may want to try and at least make it a respectable night, playing now will only lead to disaster. If poker is just one big session, I can pick a better spot and play another time. I'm still making progress forward and I knew I would take some steps backward, but I didn't know it would be this big. I've still only played 7 sessions and 5433 hands, so it's way early. I'll just stop for the night and keep grinding on.
1. Force pots
2. Lose sight of reads and put blinders on
3. Ignore reads and "hope" they fold, don't bet, etc.
4. Speculate out of position
5. Call on draws hoping to hit instead of putting them on a hand and being aggressive when it makes sense
6. Tighten up afraid of trusting my reads because I might lose a big pot
7. Involve my ego in decisions facing bets/raises
For now, I am going to tighten up just a bit and re-focus on asking the questions "what do they have" and "what do they think I have".
----
Well, I stayed cool until the end when QQ got sucked out by JJ on the turn for a buy-in. Tonight was rough...like really rough. I don't even know where to begin. Suckouts, bluffs not working, not laying down big hands when I know I'm beat, etc. For the most part I don't feel like I played that bad, but I had everything not go my way. I certainly lost more pots than I won and the ones I lost were sizeable. After the QQ suckout, I took a break and looked at my session stats to see if I should stop the bleeding early tonight. To my shock, I was down $363.15! I figured I was close to 2 buy-ins, but I had no idea it was over three. I know from past experiences that putting in a stop loss now is not even an option. As much as I may want to try and at least make it a respectable night, playing now will only lead to disaster. If poker is just one big session, I can pick a better spot and play another time. I'm still making progress forward and I knew I would take some steps backward, but I didn't know it would be this big. I've still only played 7 sessions and 5433 hands, so it's way early. I'll just stop for the night and keep grinding on.
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Great Session Tonight
I don't even know my stats or my results for the night, but I know I had a good night. I felt confident in my plays and made some big laydowns. I extracted from the fish and got aggressive players to fall into my traps.
Now it's not like I ran incredible, but I felt like I played well. As far as plugging leaks go, I made a conscious effort to open up my game a bit from early position and focused on not going crazy with double and triple barrels without a confident read.
I really only had one hand that I didn't play well and I'll go ahead and put it out there as a reminder of what not to do. The villain in this hand is very aggressive and 3bets a lot. See my analysis below.
PokerStars Game #42058954499: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00 USD) - 2010/04/01 22:46:06 ET
Table 'Nata' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: DidYouSeeWHy ($100 in chips)
Seat 2: mydodi ($138.30 in chips)
Seat 5: RudiTurbo ($102.20 in chips)
Seat 6: NYIsles_fcp ($100 in chips)
Seat 7: booger369 ($116.55 in chips)
Seat 8: Porkie Pine ($94.55 in chips)
Seat 9: DP388 ($119.60 in chips)
DidYouSeeWHy: posts small blind $0.50
mydodi: posts big blind $1
xpjsx: sits out
JuantotheC: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DP388 [Kc Jc]
RudiTurbo: folds
NYIsles_fcp: folds
booger369: folds
Porkie Pine: folds
DP388: raises $2 to $3
DidYouSeeWHy: raises $8 to $11
mydodi: folds
DP388: raises $16 to $27
DidYouSeeWHy: calls $16
*** FLOP *** [Qd 5h Td]
DidYouSeeWHy: checks
DP388: checks
*** TURN *** [Qd 5h Td] [Qh]
DidYouSeeWHy: checks
DP388: checks
*** RIVER *** [Qd 5h Td Qh] [3h]
DidYouSeeWHy: checks
DP388: bets $24
DidYouSeeWHy: calls $24
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DP388: shows [Kc Jc] (a pair of Queens)
DidYouSeeWHy: shows [Jd Js] (two pair, Queens and Jacks)
I felt like my 4 bet in this spot was good. When he flats my 4bet I know he has a good hand. I feel like I can put him on a finite range of TT-AA. I think he folds or shoves 88-99 and he likely shoves AK. I feel like he's either trapping me or wants to see the flop texture before deciding what to do. I don't think I've 4bet at all, so he probably doesn't put me on a super wide range. When he calls, and this board comes Q5T, this hits two sets in his range. I also think JJ will call a c-bet and based on his range I'm not ready to go all the way here. I think my check is good because it gives me a free card to the straight where I can stack him. On the turn, this isn't a good card for me because it now becomes very hard to rep anything. If I had a big pair, wouldn't I have bet the flop for value? If I had AQ wouldn't I have bet? Even if I was being tricky with AQ, it is hard for him to put me on a single hand. So the river comes and I just didn't want to give up the pot. I knew it was wrong but I bet anyway. What am I representing here? One leak I need to work on is when I'm about to bet, if I am cringing "hoping" it will work, then it probably a bad bet. I was able to correct this in future hands tonight, but it wasn't like I stopped being aggressive. I had a few successful double barrels and 1-2 3 barrels.
Now it's not like I ran incredible, but I felt like I played well. As far as plugging leaks go, I made a conscious effort to open up my game a bit from early position and focused on not going crazy with double and triple barrels without a confident read.
I really only had one hand that I didn't play well and I'll go ahead and put it out there as a reminder of what not to do. The villain in this hand is very aggressive and 3bets a lot. See my analysis below.
PokerStars Game #42058954499: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00 USD) - 2010/04/01 22:46:06 ET
Table 'Nata' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: DidYouSeeWHy ($100 in chips)
Seat 2: mydodi ($138.30 in chips)
Seat 5: RudiTurbo ($102.20 in chips)
Seat 6: NYIsles_fcp ($100 in chips)
Seat 7: booger369 ($116.55 in chips)
Seat 8: Porkie Pine ($94.55 in chips)
Seat 9: DP388 ($119.60 in chips)
DidYouSeeWHy: posts small blind $0.50
mydodi: posts big blind $1
xpjsx: sits out
JuantotheC: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DP388 [Kc Jc]
RudiTurbo: folds
NYIsles_fcp: folds
booger369: folds
Porkie Pine: folds
DP388: raises $2 to $3
DidYouSeeWHy: raises $8 to $11
mydodi: folds
DP388: raises $16 to $27
DidYouSeeWHy: calls $16
*** FLOP *** [Qd 5h Td]
DidYouSeeWHy: checks
DP388: checks
*** TURN *** [Qd 5h Td] [Qh]
DidYouSeeWHy: checks
DP388: checks
*** RIVER *** [Qd 5h Td Qh] [3h]
DidYouSeeWHy: checks
DP388: bets $24
DidYouSeeWHy: calls $24
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DP388: shows [Kc Jc] (a pair of Queens)
DidYouSeeWHy: shows [Jd Js] (two pair, Queens and Jacks)
I felt like my 4 bet in this spot was good. When he flats my 4bet I know he has a good hand. I feel like I can put him on a finite range of TT-AA. I think he folds or shoves 88-99 and he likely shoves AK. I feel like he's either trapping me or wants to see the flop texture before deciding what to do. I don't think I've 4bet at all, so he probably doesn't put me on a super wide range. When he calls, and this board comes Q5T, this hits two sets in his range. I also think JJ will call a c-bet and based on his range I'm not ready to go all the way here. I think my check is good because it gives me a free card to the straight where I can stack him. On the turn, this isn't a good card for me because it now becomes very hard to rep anything. If I had a big pair, wouldn't I have bet the flop for value? If I had AQ wouldn't I have bet? Even if I was being tricky with AQ, it is hard for him to put me on a single hand. So the river comes and I just didn't want to give up the pot. I knew it was wrong but I bet anyway. What am I representing here? One leak I need to work on is when I'm about to bet, if I am cringing "hoping" it will work, then it probably a bad bet. I was able to correct this in future hands tonight, but it wasn't like I stopped being aggressive. I had a few successful double barrels and 1-2 3 barrels.
Understanding My Stats
I finally started really trying to understand the stats that are compiled by Hold'em Manager. I had some hunches, but it is really eye opening. I only have about 4,000 hands in there (I would have more but my computer recently crashed and I lost some data), but it's enough to start noticing tendencies that I can work on.
I am basing this on some articles written in the HEM program that are based on a study of 5,000 different players and how their stats in certain situations relate to their overall win rate at bb/100 hands.
Without going through every stat, these are the ones that I need to work on:
Turn Cbet% - As a former nit, you would think my % would be too low, but it's actually too high. This is one of the few stats where if you are too aggressive, it will cost you money. The highest win rate is with a turn bet % of between 40.8 - 45.3%. At 51.6% and above it's actually a negative win rate. My rate is 51.1. I think what is happening is that I'm getting slow played a lot and I'm just blind betting the turn hoping to get a fold instead of really looking at board texture and player tendencies.
Fold to Flop Cbet% - When I'm in a hand, I like to be in control. If I wasn't the pre-flop raiser I'm often not giving a lot of resistance in the hand. Now that I'm seeing this stat, I realize that I'm not raising c-bets or floating enough. The ideal rate is 56.8 - 61.7%. Once you are folding more than 61.7% it's a steep drop in win rate. But it also drops when you are pushing back too much (folding less than 56.7%). I've been folding 63.1% of the time. So basically, I need to pick a few more spots to raise c-bets on boards where it was unlikely to hit my opponent or if they fear that it hit me.
Position - HEM lets you see what your stats are based on %. As a quick summary of ways it looks like I can improve, I need to find ways to lose less in the small & big blinds. I'm not exactly sure why I'm losing as much as I am, but I suspect it is in big pots where I've 3bet light and double & triple barrel too often. What's crazy though is that I'm running 98.94bb/100 hands on the button and 1.14/100 hands in the cut-off. I'll have to find out why I'm not winning as much in the cut-off.
Another thing that is interesting is that my VPIP and PFR stats in early position are really low. To me that means that I am not stealing from early position enough and it probably explains why when I do get big hands in early position that I'm not getting much action. It doesn't mean I need to go crazy, but I definitely need to open up a bit. I could bump it up from middle position as well. Upping both of these stats will also increase my overall VPIP/PFR stats to be a little more on the aggressive side and should increase my win rate.
I am basing this on some articles written in the HEM program that are based on a study of 5,000 different players and how their stats in certain situations relate to their overall win rate at bb/100 hands.
Without going through every stat, these are the ones that I need to work on:
Turn Cbet% - As a former nit, you would think my % would be too low, but it's actually too high. This is one of the few stats where if you are too aggressive, it will cost you money. The highest win rate is with a turn bet % of between 40.8 - 45.3%. At 51.6% and above it's actually a negative win rate. My rate is 51.1. I think what is happening is that I'm getting slow played a lot and I'm just blind betting the turn hoping to get a fold instead of really looking at board texture and player tendencies.
Fold to Flop Cbet% - When I'm in a hand, I like to be in control. If I wasn't the pre-flop raiser I'm often not giving a lot of resistance in the hand. Now that I'm seeing this stat, I realize that I'm not raising c-bets or floating enough. The ideal rate is 56.8 - 61.7%. Once you are folding more than 61.7% it's a steep drop in win rate. But it also drops when you are pushing back too much (folding less than 56.7%). I've been folding 63.1% of the time. So basically, I need to pick a few more spots to raise c-bets on boards where it was unlikely to hit my opponent or if they fear that it hit me.
Position - HEM lets you see what your stats are based on %. As a quick summary of ways it looks like I can improve, I need to find ways to lose less in the small & big blinds. I'm not exactly sure why I'm losing as much as I am, but I suspect it is in big pots where I've 3bet light and double & triple barrel too often. What's crazy though is that I'm running 98.94bb/100 hands on the button and 1.14/100 hands in the cut-off. I'll have to find out why I'm not winning as much in the cut-off.
Another thing that is interesting is that my VPIP and PFR stats in early position are really low. To me that means that I am not stealing from early position enough and it probably explains why when I do get big hands in early position that I'm not getting much action. It doesn't mean I need to go crazy, but I definitely need to open up a bit. I could bump it up from middle position as well. Upping both of these stats will also increase my overall VPIP/PFR stats to be a little more on the aggressive side and should increase my win rate.
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